The Open Medical Imaging Journal


ISSN: 1874-3471 ― Volume 12, 2020

ProgNet: COVID-19 Prognosis Using Recurrent and Convolutional Neural Networks

Mohamed Fakhfakh1, Bassem Bouaziz1, Faiez Gargouri1, Lotfi Chaari2, *
1 University of Sfax, MIRACL Laboratory, Sfax, Tunisia
2 University of Toulouse, IRIT-ENSEEIHT, Toulouse, France



Prognosis of lung mathology severity after Covid-19 infection using chest X-ray time series


We have been inspired by methods analysing time series of images in remote sensing for change detection. During the current Covid-19 pandemic, our motivation is to provide an automatic tool to predict severity of lung pathologies due to Covid-19. This can be done by analysing images of the same patient acquired at different dates. Since no analytical model is available, and also no accurate quantification tools can be used due to many unknowns about the pathology, feature-free methods are good candidates to analyse such temporal images.


This contribution helps improving performances of medical structures facing the Covid-19 pandemic. The first impact is medical and social since more lives could be saved with a 92% rate of good prognosis. In addition to that, patients in intensive care units (up to 15%) could a posteriori suffer from less sequels due to an early and accurate prognosis of their PP. Moreover, accurate prognosis can lead to a better planning of patient’s transfer between units and hospitals, which is linked to the second claimed economical impact. Indeed, prognosis is linked to lower treatment costs due to an optimized predictive protocol using ragiological prognosis.


Using Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN) in combination with Recurrent Neural Networks (RNN). Spatial and temporal features are combines to analyse image time series. A prognosis score is delivered indicating the severity of the pathology. Learning is made on a publicly available database.


When applied to radiological time-series, promising results are obtained with an accuracy rates higher than 92%. Sensitivity and specificity rates are also very interesting.


Our method is segmentation-free, which makes it competitive with respect to other assessment methods relying on time-consuming lung segmentation algorithms. When applied on radiographic data, the proposed ProgNet architecture showed promising results with good classification performances, especially for ambiguous cases. Specifically, the reported low false positive rates are interesting for an accurate and personalised care workflow.

Keywords: Coronavirus, Deep learning, Artificial intelligence, Medical imaging, LSTM, X-ray images.

Article Information

Identifiers and Pagination:

Year: 2020
Volume: 12
First Page: 11
Last Page: 12
Publisher Id: TOMIJ-12-11
DOI: 10.2174/1874347102012010011

Article History:

Received Date: 23/05/2020
Revision Received Date: 19/09/2020
Acceptance Date: 17/10/2020
Electronic publication date: 31/12/2020
Collection year: 2020

© 2020 Fakhfakh et al.

open-access license: This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International Public License (CC-BY 4.0), a copy of which is available at: This license permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.

* Address correspondence to this author at University of Toulouse, IRIT-ENSEEIHT, Toulouse, France; E-mail:

Track Your Manuscript:


"Open access will revolutionize 21st century knowledge work and accelerate the diffusion of ideas and evidence that support just in time learning and the evolution of thinking in a number of disciplines."

Daniel Pesut
(Indiana University School of Nursing, USA)

"It is important that students and researchers from all over the world can have easy access to relevant, high-standard and timely scientific information. This is exactly what Open Access Journals provide and this is the reason why I support this endeavor."

Jacques Descotes
(Centre Antipoison-Centre de Pharmacovigilance, France)

"Publishing research articles is the key for future scientific progress. Open Access publishing is therefore of utmost importance for wider dissemination of information, and will help serving the best interest of the scientific community."

Patrice Talaga
(UCB S.A., Belgium)

"Open access journals are a novel concept in the medical literature. They offer accessible information to a wide variety of individuals, including physicians, medical students, clinical investigators, and the general public. They are an outstanding source of medical and scientific information."

Jeffrey M. Weinberg
(St. Luke's-Roosevelt Hospital Center, USA)

"Open access journals are extremely useful for graduate students, investigators and all other interested persons to read important scientific articles and subscribe scientific journals. Indeed, the research articles span a wide range of area and of high quality. This is specially a must for researchers belonging to institutions with limited library facility and funding to subscribe scientific journals."

Debomoy K. Lahiri
(Indiana University School of Medicine, USA)

"Open access journals represent a major break-through in publishing. They provide easy access to the latest research on a wide variety of issues. Relevant and timely articles are made available in a fraction of the time taken by more conventional publishers. Articles are of uniformly high quality and written by the world's leading authorities."

Robert Looney
(Naval Postgraduate School, USA)

"Open access journals have transformed the way scientific data is published and disseminated: particularly, whilst ensuring a high quality standard and transparency in the editorial process, they have increased the access to the scientific literature by those researchers that have limited library support or that are working on small budgets."

Richard Reithinger
(Westat, USA)

"Not only do open access journals greatly improve the access to high quality information for scientists in the developing world, it also provides extra exposure for our papers."

J. Ferwerda
(University of Oxford, UK)

"Open Access 'Chemistry' Journals allow the dissemination of knowledge at your finger tips without paying for the scientific content."

Sean L. Kitson
(Almac Sciences, Northern Ireland)

"In principle, all scientific journals should have open access, as should be science itself. Open access journals are very helpful for students, researchers and the general public including people from institutions which do not have library or cannot afford to subscribe scientific journals. The articles are high standard and cover a wide area."

Hubert Wolterbeek
(Delft University of Technology, The Netherlands)

"The widest possible diffusion of information is critical for the advancement of science. In this perspective, open access journals are instrumental in fostering researches and achievements."

Alessandro Laviano
(Sapienza - University of Rome, Italy)

"Open access journals are very useful for all scientists as they can have quick information in the different fields of science."

Philippe Hernigou
(Paris University, France)

"There are many scientists who can not afford the rather expensive subscriptions to scientific journals. Open access journals offer a good alternative for free access to good quality scientific information."

Fidel Toldrá
(Instituto de Agroquimica y Tecnologia de Alimentos, Spain)

"Open access journals have become a fundamental tool for students, researchers, patients and the general public. Many people from institutions which do not have library or cannot afford to subscribe scientific journals benefit of them on a daily basis. The articles are among the best and cover most scientific areas."

M. Bendandi
(University Clinic of Navarre, Spain)

"These journals provide researchers with a platform for rapid, open access scientific communication. The articles are of high quality and broad scope."

Peter Chiba
(University of Vienna, Austria)

"Open access journals are probably one of the most important contributions to promote and diffuse science worldwide."

Jaime Sampaio
(University of Trás-os-Montes e Alto Douro, Portugal)

"Open access journals make up a new and rather revolutionary way to scientific publication. This option opens several quite interesting possibilities to disseminate openly and freely new knowledge and even to facilitate interpersonal communication among scientists."

Eduardo A. Castro
(INIFTA, Argentina)

"Open access journals are freely available online throughout the world, for you to read, download, copy, distribute, and use. The articles published in the open access journals are high quality and cover a wide range of fields."

Kenji Hashimoto
(Chiba University, Japan)

"Open Access journals offer an innovative and efficient way of publication for academics and professionals in a wide range of disciplines. The papers published are of high quality after rigorous peer review and they are Indexed in: major international databases. I read Open Access journals to keep abreast of the recent development in my field of study."

Daniel Shek
(Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong)

"It is a modern trend for publishers to establish open access journals. Researchers, faculty members, and students will be greatly benefited by the new journals of Bentham Science Publishers Ltd. in this category."

Jih Ru Hwu
(National Central University, Taiwan)

Browse Contents

Webmaster Contact:
Copyright © 2021 Bentham Open