In the past decade official reports into intelligence failures have asserted that analysts are subject to the effects
of everyday cognitive limitations. The present study examined the influence of an individual's inclination toward closedmindedness
on a computer administered simulated intelligence analysis task. Results indicate that several components of
closed-mindedness as measured by the need for cognitive closure scale [NFC] significantly predicted the assessed level of
threat posed to and general attitude toward a visiting government delegation by a foreign nation's population. Most significantly
higher scores on the NFC subscale ‘need for predictability’ were associated with higher scores on the initial assessed
threat level. This effect remained after controlling for the amount of information accessed. The implications of
these findings for the conduct of intelligence analysis are discussed.