Table 1: Agreement Among Indirect Comparison Predictions and Observed Match Results
Predicted Results
Observed Results
Tie
Team in First Position Wins
Team in Second Position Wins
Total
Tie
2
3
3
8
Team in first position
wins
1
6
3
10
Team in second position
wins
0
3
11
14
Total
3
12
17
32
Teams were assigned arbitrarily to first or second position for convenience of designation in the above table. In the game between Cameroon and Netherlands described in the text.
Cameron is in first position and Netherlands in the second position, a win was predicted for the team in the second position, and it was observed. If there had been perfect agreement
between predicted and observed results, all the off-diagonal bolded counts would have been zero.