Uncertain factors | distribution | Thermal | Nuclear | Hydro | Wind | Solar |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fuel unit price | Logarithmic normal | Mean =0.6 standard deviation =0.06 | / | / | / | / |
Carbon price | Logarithmic normal | Mean =4.75, standard deviation =0.66 | ||||
Feed-in tariff | Trigonometric | Maximum value =0.66 Minimum value =0.54 Most likely value =0.6 |
Maximum value =0.66 Minimum value =0.54 Most likely value =0.6 |
Maximum value =0.36 Minimum value =0.24 Most likely value =0.3 |
maximum value =0.86 Minimum value =0.74 Most likely value =0.8 |
maximum value =1.27 Minimum value =1.04 Most likely value =1.15 |
Annual operating hour | Uniform | Maximum value =4500 Minimum value =5500 |
maximum value =6000 Minimum value =7000 |
maximum value =4000 Minimum value =5000 |
maximum value =1500 Minimum value =2500 |
maximum value =1000 Minimum value =2000 |