Table 1: Description of the included studies.

Study Participants Number of patients Follow-up period Outcome Measure Statistical method Statistical adjustment Results

Diagnosis Type of Surgery Mean Age (SD) Gender (%female) Significant Determinants Non-significant Determinants
Alzahrani et al. (2011) [33] Primary or secondary OA Primary unilateral TKA Cohort A: 67.5 (9.6) Cohort A: 62% Cohort A: 457 1 year No clinical improvement at 1 year: Minimal Clinically Important Difference WOMAC: ≤ 7.5/100 points OKS: ≤ 5.0/60 points Logistic regression Age,
Gender
BMI
Comorbidity
Cohort A: Increased age at time of surgery (-): OR 1.06 (95% CI 1.02-1.09) Cohort A Gender BMI Comorbidity
Cohort B: 69.0 (9.1) Cohort B: 63% Cohort B: 2720 Cohort B: Male gender (+): OR 0.72 (95% CI 0.57-0.92) Cohort B: Age BMI Comorbidity
Overall: 68.2 (9.4) Overall: 63% Overall: 3177
Ayers et al. (2005) [42] OA Primary unilateral TKA 68.0 (9.8) 62.4% 165 12 months 12 month WOMAC-Physical function score improvement (change score) Blocked multiple regression NONE Age (unclear)
Gender (unclear)
Worse preoperative physical function (WOMAC function) (-)
Higher pre-operative mental health (SF-36 mental component score) (+)
NONE
Baker et al. (2012) [16] OA Primary unilateral TKA Not available Not available 22691 6
- 12 months (median 199 days)
6 – 12 month OKS improvement (change score) Stepwise multiple linear regression NONE Higher age (+): estimate = 0.06 (95% CI 0.04 to 0.07)
Higher preoperative function and lower pain (-): estimate = -0.66 (95% CI -0.67 to -0.64)
Higher number of comorbidities (-): estimate = -0.25 (95% CI -0.39 to -0.12)
Presence of self-reported pre-operative disability (-) estimate = -1.49 (95% CI -1.75 to -1.23)
Very good self-reported pre-operative general health (vs. excellent) (-): estimate = -1.12 (95% CI -1.78 to -0.45)
Good self-reported pre-operative general health (vs. excellent) (-): estimate = -2.78 (95% CI -3.42 to -2.12)
Fair self-reported pre-operative general health (vs. excellent) (-): estimate = -5.23 (95% CI -5.93 to -4.53)
Poor self-reported pre-operative general health (vs. excellent) (-): estimate = - 8.13 (95% CI -9.09 to -7.16)
Presence of depression (-): estimate = -0.95 (95% CI -1.44 to 0.46)
Moderate anxiety/depression (vs. no anxiety/depression) (-): estimate = -1.17 (95% CI -1.45 to -0.90)
Severe anxiety/depression (vs. no anxiety/depression) (-): estimate = -2.78 (95% CI -3.48 to -2.07)
ASA Grade 3 (vs. Grade 1) (-): estimate = -1.00 (95%CI -1.52 to -0.49)
PFC prosthesis brand (vs NexGen) (-): estimate = -0.98 (95%CI -1.35 to -0.62)
Genesis 2 prosthesis brand (vs NexGen) (-): estimate = -1.50 (95%CI -2.02 to -0.98)
AGC prosthesis brand (vs NexGen) (-): estimate = -1.20 (95%CI -1.68 to -0.72)
Triathlon prosthesis brand (vs NexGen) (-): estimate = -1.74 (95%CI -2.16 to -1.36)
Independent hospital (vs. NHS hospital) (+): estimate = 0.83 (95%CI 0.35 to 1.31)
ISTC (vs. NHS hospital) (+): estimate = 1.84 (95%CI 1.23 to 2.45)
ASA Grade 2
Caracciolo et al. (2005) [37] OA Primary TKA 71.6 (6.6) 81% 47 6 months WOMAC function score at 6 months Logistic regression NONE Higher preoperative function (+), OR = 1.15, 95% CI = 1.04 to 1.28, compared to lower preoperative function (worst quartile of WOMAC function score) Preoperative osteoarthritis morbidity:
Charnley or Modified Charnley Class C
Clement et al. (2013) [32] Primary OA Primary unilateral TKA 70.4 (9.4) 57.5 2392 1 year 1 year OKS score Multivariate linear regression analysis NONE Presence of back pain (-): β = - 2.41 (95%CI -3.18 to -1.64)
Presence of depression (-): β = - 4.17 (95%CI -5.42 to -2.92)
Better pre-operative levels of pain and function (+): β = 0.45 (95%CI 0.39 to 0.51)
Higher pre-operative mental health (+): β = 0.19 (95%CI 0.16 to 0.22)
Gender
Heart disease
Hypertension
Lung disease
Vascular disease
Neurological disease
Diabetes mellitus
Gastric ulceration
Kidney disease
Liver disease
Anemia
Clement et al. (2013) [35] N/A Primary TKA 70.4 56.6 2389 1 year 1 year OKS score Multivariate linear regression analysis NONE Vascular comorbidity (-): β = -1.91, 95% CI -3.78 to -0.05
Depression (-): β = -4.19, 95% CI -5.44 to -2.95
Back pain (-): β = -2.38, 95% CI -3.14 to -1.61
Better pre-operative levels of pain and function (+): β = 0.45, 95% CI 0.39 to 0.51
Higher pre-operative mental health (+): β = 0.19 (95%CI 0.16 to 0.22)
Heart disease High blood pressure
Lung disease
Neurological disease
Diabetes
Stomach ulcer
Kidney Disease
Liver disease
Anemia
Pre-operative physical health
Clement et al. (2013) [40] Primary OA Primary TKA 70.6 (7.0) 57.6 966 1 year Mean OKS improvement after 1 year Multivariate linear regression analysis NONE Presence of back pain (-): β = -2.53, 95% CI -3.75 –to -1.30
More than 4 comorbidities (-): β = -3.78, 95% CI -6.11 to -1.45
Higher preoperative function and lower pain (-): β = 0.58, 95% CI 0.50 to 0.87
Higher preoperative mental health (+): β =0.16, 95% CI 0.11 to 0.22
NONE
Davis et al (2008) [34] Primary OA Unilateral primary TKA 71.1 (49 to 85)* 51.0 974 12 and 24 months 12 and 24 month total WOMAC score and WOMAC pain and function scores Multivariate linear regression analysis Age,
Gender
Number of co-morbid conditions
Country
Center within country
Pre-operative status
WOMAC pain
12 months
Low income (-):p = 0.014
WOMAC pain
Low income at 24 months
Education status at 3, 12 and 24 months
WOMAC function
Low income at 12 and 24 months
Education status at 12 and 24 months
Desmeules et al. (2013) [17] OA (96%), RA (4%) Primary unilateral TKA 67 (9.3) 66% 138 6 months WOMAC pain and function scores at 6 months Stepwise multiple regression analysis NONE WOMAC pain (r2 = 0.11)
Higher pre-operative pain level (-): β = 0.25, 95% CI 0.08-0.41
Cruciate retaining implant (-): β = -8.21, 95% CI -15.01 to -1.34
WOMAC pain
Household living status
Initial diagnosis (OA/RA)
BMI
Burden of comorbidities
Duration of the disease
Use of walking aid
Pain contralateral knee
Formal education
Employment status
Household income
Size of social network
Psychological distress
Surgical variables – bearing type, patella resurfacing
Marital status
Occupational status
WOMAC function (r2 = 0.16)
Higher pre-operative function level (+): β = 0.35, 95% CI 0.16-0.54
Marital status (single, separated, divorced or widowed) (-): β = -6.84, 95% CI -14.74 to -0.95
Occupational status (unemployed or retired) (-): β = -7.77, 95% CI -14.70 to -0.87
WOMAC function
Household living status
Initial diagnosis (OA/RA)
BMI
Burden of comorbidities
Duration of the disease
Use of walking aid
Pain contralateral knee
Formal education
Employment status
Household income
Size of social network
Psychological distress
Surgical variables – bearing type, patella resurfacing
Implant type
Engel et al. (2004) [51] OA TKA 67.1 (8.3) 49.3% 74 6 months WOMAC pain and function scores at 6 months Multiple hierarchical regression analysis Control of other variable (efficacy variables vs. expectancy variables)
Adjustment for pre-operative WOMAC variables
WOMAC pain Higher coping efficacy (+): β = -0.338, p < 0.01 and
High Arthritis Helplessness (-): β = 0.239, p < 0.05 adjusted r2 = 0.053
Expectancy variables: greater pessimism, grater expected chance of recovery, greater expected change in QoL: β not given, adjusted r2 = 0.067
WOMAC pain
None
WOMAC function
Higher coping efficacy (+): β = -0.337, p < 0.05, adjusted r2 = 0.032
WOMAC function
Arthritis Helplessness
Expectancy variables: pessimism, expected chance of recovery, expected chance in QoL
Escobar et al. (2007) [24] OA Primary TKA 71.8 (6.7) 73.6% 640 6 months WOMAC Pain an function score at 6 months General linear models NONE WOMAC pain Higher age (+): Diff β = -0.24, 95% CI -.045 to – 0.03
Presence of social support (+): Diff β = -5.13, 95% CI -9.31 to – 0.95
Absence of back pain (+): Diff β = -5.26, 95% CI -8.24 to -2.27
Charlson Index ≥ 2 (-): Diff β = 6.50, 95% CI 2.0 to 11.0
Higher pre-operative mental health (+): Diff β = -0.10, 95% CI -0.17 to – 0.04
Higher preoperative pain on WOMAC (-): Diff β = 0.26, 0.18 to 0.34
WOMAC pain
Gender
Charlson Index 1
WOMAC function Presence of social support (+): Diff β = -7.25, 95% CI -9.31 to – 0.95
Absence of back pain (+): Diff β = -5.26, 95% CI -11.83 to -2.67
Charlson Index ≥ 2 (-): Diff β = 6.60, 95% CI 1.70 to 11.52
Higher pre-operative mental health (+): Diff β = -0.10, 95% CI -0.17 to – 0.03
Lower preoperative function on WOMAC (-): Diff β = 0.29, 0.19 to 0.38
WOMAC function
Age Charlson Index 1
Fortin et al. (1999) and Fortin et al. (2002) [9, 15] OA Primary TKA 68.1± 9.1 56 % 106 and 81 6 months and 2 years WOMAC pain and function scores at 6 months and 2 years Multiple linear regression NONE WOMAC pain at 6 months:
Higher preoperative pain (WOMAC pain score) (-): β = 0.44 ± 0.11, r2 = 0.25
WOMAC pain at 6 months:
Age
Gender
Center
Education
Comorbidity
WOMAC function at 6 months: Lower preoperative function (WOMAC function score) (-): β = 0.61 ± 0.11, r2 = 0.36 WOMAC function at 6 months:
Age
Gender
Center
Education
Comorbidity
Similar results for (2002); data not shown
Gandhi et al. (2010) [39] Primary and secondary OA Primary unilateral TKA 66.5 61 889 1 year WOMAC total score at 1 year Linear regression modelling Age
Gender
Baseline total WOMAC score
Comorbidity (excluding hypertension, hypercholesterolemia and diabetes)
Obesity (BMI > 30) (-): β = 3.6, 95% CI 0.02 to 7.2 Number of metabolic syndrome risk factors
Hypertension
Hypercholesterolemia
Diabetes
Gandhi et al. (2013) [21] OA Unilateral TKA 68.5 (9.4) 57 28 2 years Change in WOMAC pain score at 2 years Linear regression modelling Age
Gender
BMI
Comorbidity count
Greater synovial fluid TNF- α levels (-): p = 0.001
Greater synovial fluid MMP-13 levels (-): p = 0.03
Greater synovial fluid IL-6 levels (-): p = 0.001
Serum levels of:
IL-6
IL-1β
MMP-9
MMP-13
MIP-1β
MCP-1
Adiponectin
Leptin
TNF- α
IFN-γ
VCAM-1
Synovial fluid levels of:
IL-1β
MMP-9
MIP-1β
MCP-1
Adiponectin
Leptin
IFN-γ
VCAM-1
Hanusch et al. (2014) [27] OA Primary TKA 71 (42 to 92) 45 100 1 year 1 year OKS score Stepwise multiple linear regression NONE Model 1
None
Model 1
Age
Gender
Pre-operative OKS score
Consequences
(patient’s beliefs about impact of illness on their life
Emotional representation (patient’s negative emotions caused by their illness)
Model 2
Better pre-operative function and lower pain (+): β = -0.296, p = 0.008
Higher anxiety (-): β = 0.270, p = 0.01
Model 2
Age
Gender
Model 3
Better pre-operative function and lower pain (+): β = -0.239, p = 0.04
Higher anxiety (-): β = 0.296, p = 0.01
Model 3
Age Gender
Jones et al. (2001) [41] Osteoarthritis (93%) Primary unilateral TKA 70.6 59 257 6 months Change in WOMAC pain and function scores at 6 months Multiple linear regression models NONE Change in pain
Higher preoperative bodily pain (SF-36) (-): β = -0.42, 95% CI -0.56 to -0.27 Cementless prosthesis (-): β = -9.48, 95% CI -16.20 to -2.77
Change in pain Age
Gender
Waiting time
Number of comorbid conditions
Change in function
Lower preoperative joint pain (WOMAC) (-): β = -0.43, 95% CI -0.57 to -0.28
Higher number of comorbid conditions
(-)
: β = -1.56, 95% CI -2.74 to -0.37
Higher preoperative bodily pain (SF-36) (-): β = -0.21, 95% CI -0.35 to -0.07
Change in function
Age
Gender
Waiting time
BMI
Contralateral joint involvement
Living alone
Jones et al. (2003) [10] OA (94%) Primary TKA 69.2 (9.2) 59 273 6 months WOMAC function score at 6 months Multiple linear regression NONE Older age (+): β = 0.35, 95% CI 0.10 to 0.60
Higher preoperative function (WOMAC) (+): β = 0.30, 95% CI 0.16 to 0.43
Greater number of comorbid conditions (-): β = -1.62, 95% CI -2.75 to -0.49
Use of walking devices pre-operatively (-): β = -4.15, 95% CI -7.23 to -1.06
Gender
Judge et al (2012) [25] OA (93.7%) Primary TKA (92%) UKA (8%) 71.7 (9.1) 61 1991 6 months Model 1:
Total OKS, OKS pain score and OKS function score at 6 months
Model 1:
Multiple linear regression
Model 1:
NONE
Model 1:
Total OKS
Higher baseline OKS (+): multivariable coefficient = 1.70, 95% CI 1.43 to 1.96
Female sex (-): multivariable coefficient = -0.88, 95% CI -1.68 to -0.08 Higher preoperative BMI (-): multivariable coefficient = -0.44, 95% CI -0.86 to -0.01
Greater social deprivation (higher log of Index of Multiple Deprivation-IMD 2004) (-): multivariable coefficient = -1.40, 95% CI -1.96 to -0.85
RA diagnosis (vs. Primary OA) (+): multivariable coefficient = 2.90, 95% CI 0.42 to 5.37
Moderately anxious/depressed (vs. Not Anxious/Depressed) (-): multivariable coefficient = -0.85, 95% CI -1.68 to -0.03
Extremely anxious/depressed (vs. Not Anxious/Depressed) (-): multivariable coefficient = -2.21, 95% CI -4.34 to -0.09
Total OKS
Age
Operated side
Diagnosis other than OA or RA
ASA grade
Year surgery was performed
OKS pain score
Higher baseline OKS (+): multivariable coefficient = 1.30, 95% CI 1.03 to 1.57
Greater social deprivation (higher log of IMD 2004)(-): multivariable coefficient = -0.64, 95% CI -0.91 to -0.37
RA diagnosis (vs. Primary OA) (+): multivariable coefficient = 1.75, 95% CI 0.61 to 2.89
Moderately anxious/depressed (vs. Not Anxious/Depressed) (-): multivariable coefficient = -0.43, 95% CI -0.83 to -0.03
Extremely anxious/depressed (vs. Not Anxious/Depressed) (-): multivariable coefficient = -1.19, 95% CI -2.19 to -0.18
OKS pain score
Age
Gender
Preoperative BMI
Operated side
Diagnosis other than OA or RA
ASA grade
Year surgery was performed
OKS function score
Higher baseline OKS (+): multivariable coefficient = 1.82, 95% CI 1.58 to 2.06
Higher age (-): multivariable coefficient = -0.21, 95% CI -0.34 to -0.08
Female sex (-): multivariable coefficient = -0.79, 95% CI -1.25 to -0.33
Higher preoperative BMI (-): multivariable coefficient = -0.33, 95% CI -0.57 to -0.09
Greater social deprivation (higher log of IMD 2004)(-): multivariable coefficient = -0.79, 95% CI -1.11 to -0.46
OKS function score
Operated side
Diagnosis other than OA or RA RA diagnosis
ASA grade
Anxiety/depression level
Year surgery was performed
Model 2:
PASS score for Total OKS, OKS pain score and OKS function score at 6 months
Model 2:
Logistic regression
Model 2:
NONE
Model 2:
PASS total OKS score
Higher baseline OKS (+): OR = 1.52, 95% CI 1.40 to 1.66 Greater social deprivation (higher log of Index of Multiple Deprivation 2004) (-): OR = 0.73, 95% CI 0.62 to 0.87 RA diagnosis (+): OR = 2.17, 95% CI 1.02 to 4.60
Model 2:
PASS total OKS score
Age
Gender
BMI
Operated Side
Diagnosis other than OA or RA
ASA grade
Anxiety/depression level
Year surgery was performed
PASS OKS pain score
Higher baseline OKS (+): OR = 1.81, 95% CI 1.52 to 2.17
Greater social deprivation (higher log of Index of Multiple Deprivation 2004) (-): OR = 0.80, 95% CI 0.68 to 0.94
RA diagnosis (+): OR = 2.33, 95% CI 1.03 to 5.29
Moderately anxious/depressed (vs. not anxious/depressed) (-):OR = 0.67, 95% CI 0.54 to 0.84
Extremely anxious/depressed (vs. not anxious/depressed) (-):OR = 0.51, 95% CI 0.31 to 0.84
PASS OKS pain score
Age
Gender
BMI
Operated Side
Diagnosis other than OA or RA
ASA grade
Year surgery was performed
PASS OKS function score
Higher baseline OKS (+): OR = 2.08, 95% CI 1.82 to 2.39
Older age (-):OR = 0.93, 95% CI 0.87 to 0.99
Greater social deprivation (higher log of Index of Multiple Deprivation 2004) (-): OR = 0.76, 95% CI 0.64 to 0.89
Moderately anxious/depressed (vs. not anxious/depressed) (-):OR = 0.77, 95% CI 0.61 to 0.97
PASS OKS function score
Gender
BMI
Operated Side
Diagnosis other than OA or RA
ASA grade
Extremely anxious/depressed
(vs. not anxious/depressed)
Year surgery was performed
Kauppila et al. (2011) [4] OA Primary TKA 70.7 (5.5) 75
88
12 months 12 month WOMAC function change score Multiple linear regression NONE Multiple linear regression
Male gender (-): β = -12.0, 95% CI -23.1 to -0.9
Presence of osteoporosis (-): β = -17.5, 95% CI -32.9 to -2.1
Higher pre-operative function (-): β = 0.31, 95% CI 0.06 to 0.56
Multiple linear regression
Age
Pre-operative function of the opposite knee
OMERACT-OARSI responder criteria Multivariate logistic regression Multivariate logistic regression
Presence of osteoporosis (-): OR = 14.7, 95% CI 1.1 to 106.1
Multivariate logistic regression
Data not shown
Lingard et al. (2004) [26] OA Primary TKA 69.9 59.2 860 12 and 24 months WOMAC pain and function at 12 and 24 months Hierarchical linear modelling NONE WOMAC pain WOMAC pain
At 12 months
Female gender (-): F = 7.06, p < 0.05, parameter estimate = -3.77, 95% CI -6.55 to -0.99
Lower preoperative pain (WOMAC pain score) (-): F = 29.16, p < 0.0005, parameter estimate = 0.20, 95% CI 0.13 to 0.28
Lower preoperative mental health (SF-36 mental health score) (-): F = 17.53, p < 0.0005, parameter estimate = 0.16, 95% CI 0.09 to 0.24
More comorbid conditions (-): F = 5.85, p < 0.05, parameter estimate = -1.33, 95% CI -2.41 to -0.25
At 12 months
Age
Country
At 24 months
Female gender (-): F = 3.98, p < 0.05, parameter estimate = -2.98, 95% CI -5.91 to -0.05
Lower preoperative pain (WOMAC pain score) (-): F = 25.13, p < 0.0005, parameter estimate = 0.20, 95% CI 0.12 to 0.28
Lower preoperative mental health (SF-36 mental health score) (-): F = 9.53, p < 0.005, parameter estimate = 0.13, 95% CI 0.05 to 0.21
More comorbid conditions (-): F = 4.59, p < 0.05, parameter estimate = -1.24, 95% CI -2.38 to -0.11
At 24 months
Age
WOMAC function WOMAC function
At 12 months
Higher age (-): F = 5.62, p < 0.05, parameter estimate = -0.19, 95% CI -0.35 to -0.03
Lower preoperative function (WOMAC function score) (-): F = 51.58, p < 0.0005, parameter estimate = 0.30, 95% CI 0.22 to 0.38
Lower preoperative mental health (SF-36 mental health score) (-): F = 17.04, p < 0.0005, parameter estimate = 0.17, 95% CI 0.09 to 0.25
Higher BMI (-): F = 4.70, p < 0.05, parameter estimate = -0.30, 95% CI -0.57 to -0.03
More comorbid conditions (-): F = 11.96, p < 0.005, parameter estimate = -1.95, 95% CI -3.05 to -0.84
At 12 months
Gender
At 24 months
Lower preoperative function (WOMAC function score) (+): F = 55.75, p < 0.0005, parameter estimate = 0.34, 95% CI 0.25 to 0.43
Lower preoperative mental health (SF-36 mental health score) (-): F = 6.02, p < 0.05, parameter estimate = 0.11, 95% CI 0.02 to 0.20
Restricted knee flexion (-): F = 6.04, p < 0.05, parameter estimate = 0.12, 95% CI 0.02 to 0.21
More comorbid conditions (-): F = 13.96, p < 0.0005, parameter estimate = -2.26, 95% CI -3.45 to -1.07
At 24 months
Age Gender
Lingard et al. (2004) [26] OA Primary TKA 69.9 59.2 860 12 and 24 months WOMAC pain and function at 12 and 24 months Hierarchical linear modelling NONE Lower preoperative function (WOMAC function score) (+): F = 55.75, p < 0.0005, parameter estimate = 0.34, 95% CI 0.25 to 0.43
Lower preoperative mental health (SF-36 mental health score) (-): F = 6.02, p < 0.05, parameter estimate = 0.11, 95% CI 0.02 to 0.20
Restricted knee flexion (-): F = 6.04, p < 0.05, parameter estimate = 0.12, 95% CI 0.02 to 0.21
More comorbid conditions (-): F = 13.96, p < 0.0005, parameter estimate = -2.26, 95% CI -3.45 to -1.07
Lingard et al. (2007) [38] OA Primary TKA 70.8 60.3 952 12 and 24 months WOMAC pain and function at 12 and 24 months General linear models Age
Gender
Number of comorbidities
Country
Center within country
Preoperative scores
With substitution of missing values
WOMAC pain Higher preoperative mental health (SF-36) (+):
At 12 months: parameter estimate = 0.128, p = 0.0008
At 24 months: parameter estimate = 0.096, p = 0.0109
WOMAC function
Higher preoperative mental health (SF-36) (+):
At 12 months: parameter estimate = 0.150, p = 0.0001
At 24 months: parameter estimate = 0.106, p = 0.0071
Lopez-Olivo et al. (2011) [18] OA Primary TKA 65 (9) 65 232 6 months WOMAC pain and function at 6 months Multiple regression modelling NONE WOMAC pain
More education (+): β = -0.17, p =0.01
More comorbidities (-): β = 0.17, p = 0.008
More problem solving-style coping (+): β = -0.14, p =0.03
More dysfunctional coping (-):
β = 0.13, p =0.04
More internal belief of control over health (+): β = -0.14, p =0.02
WOMAC pain
BMI
Baseline pain level
WOMAC function
More frequent availability of tangible support (+): β = - 0.15, p =0.01
Worse depressive state (-): β = 0.15, p = 0.02
More problem solving-style coping (+): β = -0.20, p =0.001
Lower baseline function level (-): β = 0.25, p =0.0001
WOMAC function
BMI
Comorbidities
Neuburger et al. (2013) [23] OA (90%) Primary TKA (95%)

Revision TKA (5%)
N/A 57% 62,303 6 months Total OKS score at 6 months Logistic regression analysis Model 1:
Age
Sex
Ethnicity
Self-reported comorbid conditions
Self-reported general health
Primary OA
Primary TKA or revision TKA
Hospital
Model 1:
More social deprivation
(2nd quintile vs. 1st quintile) (-): β = -0.7, 95% -0.9 to -0.5
More social deprivation (3rd quintile vs. 1st quintile) (-): β = -1.1, 95% -1.3 to -0.9
More social deprivation (4th quintile vs. 1st quintile) (-): β = -2.2, 95% -2.4 to -2.0
More social deprivation (5th quintile vs. 1st quintile) (-): β = -3.5, 95% -3.8 to -3.3
Model 1:
NONE
Model 2:
Age
Sex
Ethnicity
Self-reported comorbid conditions
Self-reported general health
Primary OA
Primary TKA or revision TKA
Hospital
Preoperative OKS
Longstanding problems
Model 2:
More social deprivation (2nd quintile vs. 1st quintile) (-): β = -0.4, 95% -0.6 to -0.2
More social deprivation (3rd quintile vs. 1st quintile) (-): β = -0.6, 95% -0.8 to -0.4
More social deprivation (4th quintile vs. 1st quintile) (-): β = -1.5, 95% -1.8 to -1.3
More social deprivation (5th quintile vs. 1st quintile) (-): β = -2.4, 95% -2.7 to -2.2
Model 2:
NONE
Model 3:
NONE
Model 3:
Age < 51 years (vs. 71-80 years) (-): β = -2.9, 95% -3.4 to -2.4
Age 51-60 years (vs. 71-80 years) (-): β = -1.6, 95% -1.8 to -1.3
Age > 80 years (vs. 71-80 years) (-): β = -0.5, 95% -0.7 to -0.2
South-Asian, black or other ethnicity (vs. white ethnicity) (-): β = -2.5, 95% -2.9 to -2.2
Heart disease (-): β = -0.6, 95% -0.8 to -0.3
High blood pressure (+): β = 0.3, 95% 0.2 to 0.5
Stroke (-): β = -0.9, 95% -1.5 to -0.3
Poor circulation (-): β = - 2.3, 95% -2.6 to -2.0
Diabetes (-): β = -0.7, 95% -1.0 to -0.5
Depression (-): β = - 1.8, 95% -2.1 to -1.5
Very good general health (vs. excellent) (-): β = -1.2, 95% -1.6 to -0.9
Good general health (vs. excellent) (-): β = -3.6, 95% -4.1 to -3.3
Fair general health (vs. excellent) (-): β = -7.3, 95% -7.7 to -6.9
Poor general health vs. excellent) (-): β = -11.0, 95% -11.6 to -10.4
Diagnosis of OA (-): β = -0.5, 95% -0.9 to -0.3
Revision operation (-): β = -6.3, 95% -6.7 to -5.8
Longstanding problems (+): β = 0.4, 95% 0.3 to 0.6
Better preoperative pain/function (2nd decile of preoperative OKS score vs. 1st decile – lowest) (+): β = 2.5, 95% 2.0 to 2.9
Better preoperative pain/function (3rd decile of preoperative OKS score vs. 1st decile – lowest) (vs. 1st decile - lowest (+): β = 3.9, 95% 3.5 to 4.2 Better preoperative pain/function (4th decile of preoperative OKS score vs. 1st decile – lowest) (+): β = 4.8, 95% 4.5 to 5.2
Model 3:
Gender Age 61-70 years (vs. 71-80 years)
Lung disease
Cancer
Papakostidou et al. (2012) [28] OA (96%) Primary TKA 69.17 (6.69) 79.4 204 12 months WOMAC pain and function at 12 months General linear modelling NONE WOMAC pain
Higher pre-intervention pain (-): Diff = 0.10, 95% CI 0.02 to 2.29
WOMAC pain
Gender Age BMI Education Social support Residence
WOMAC function
Lower pre-intervention function (-): Diff = 0.17, 95% CI 0.06 to 0.28
WOMAC function
Gender Age BMI Education Social support Residence
Perruccio et al. (2012) [19] OA Primary unilateral TKA 65 65 494 12 months WOMAC pain and function at 12 months Multiple linear regression NONE Pain
Symptomatic ankles/feet/toes (-): β = 1.24, 95% CI 0.48 to 2.00
Symptomatic neck (-): β = 1.07, 95% CI 0.17 to 1.98
Higher pre-surgery knee pain (-): β = 0.34, 95% CI 0.24 to 0.45
Pain
Age
Gender
Education
BMI
Comorbidity count
Symptomatic contralateral knee
Symptomatic hips
Symptomatic elbows/wrists/hands
Symptomatic shoulder
Symptomatic spine/lower back
Physical function
Symptomatic ankles/feet/toes (-): β = 3.14, 95% CI 0.69 to 5.59
Symptomatic neck (-): β = 3.46, 95% CI 0.54 to 6.38
Higher Pre-surgery knee function (+): β = 0.41, 95% CI 0.31 to 0.50
Physical function
Age
Gender
Education
Overweight
BMI
Comorbidity count
Symptomatic contralateral knee
Symptomatic hips
Symptomatic elbows/wrists/hands
Symptomatic shoulder
Symptomatic spine/lower back
Rajgopal et al. (2008) [20] OA Primary TKA (7.1% with history of contralateral TKA) N/A 59.3 550 1 year Total WOMAC score at 1 year Multiple linear regression NONE Higher baseline mental health (+): β = 0.210, 95% CI 0.063 to 357
Charnley Class C (-): β = -4.897, 95% CI -8.701 to -1.093
Higher baseline WOMAC score (+): β = 0.301, 95% CI 0.202 to 0.399
BMI ≥40 (-): β = -5.188, 95% CI -9.771 to -0.606
Age
Gender
Prior contralateral TKA
BMI
Ramaesh et al. (2013) [29] Arthrosis TKA 70.5 58 205 1 year Oxford Knee Score at 1 year Multiple linear regression NONE More comorbidity (-): B = -1.77, 95% CI -2.35 to -1.19
Better preoperative function/pain level (+): B = 0.26, 95% CI 0.10 to 0.43
Age
Gender
Personality type
Riddle et al. (2010) [22] OA Primary TKA 63.7 70.7 157 6 months WOMAC pain and function change scores at 6 months Logistic regression Age
Gender
BMI
Comorbidity
Rheumatoid arthritis status
Race/ethnicity
Preoperative WOMAC pain score
WOMAC pain score WOMAC pain score
Model 1: change by <50%
Greater pain catastrophizing (PCS score ≥ 16) (-): OR = 2.67, 95% CI 1.2 to 6.1
Model 1
None
Model 2: change ≤ 4 points
Greater pain catastrophizing (PCS score ≥ 16) (-): OR = 6.04, 95% CI 1.75 to 20.82
Model 2
Self-efficacy
Kinesiophobia
WOMAC function score WOMAC function score
Model 1: change by <50%
None
Model 1: change by <50%
None
Model 2: change ≤ 15 points
None
Model 2: change ≤ 15 points
None
Smith et al. (2004) [52] OA Primary TKA 67.2 (8.3) 52 64 6 months WOMAC pain and function at 6 months Multiple linear regression analysis Gender
Education
Pre-surgery health measure
NONE WOMAC Pain:
Optimism
Pessimism
Emotionality
Purpose in life
WOMAC Function:
Optimism
Pessimism
Emotionality
Purpose in life
Sullivan et al. (2011) [30] OA Primary TKA 67 60.8 120 12 months WOMAC pain and function at 12 months Hierarchical regression analysis NONE WOMAC pain
Greater preoperative pain catastrophizing (-):
β = 0.27, p < 0.05
WOMAC pain
Preoperative pain
Preoperative function
Age
Sex
BMI
Comorbidites
Surgery Duration
Surgeon
Kinesiophobia
Depression
WOMAC function
Greater preoperative pain catastrophizing (-): β = 0.34, p < 0.01
WOMAC function
Preoperative pain
Preoperative function
Age
Sex
BMI
Comorbidites
Surgery Duration
Surgeon
Kinesiophobia
Depression
Wylde et al. (2012) [31] OA Primary TKA 70(9) 62 220 1 year WOMAC pain and function at 1 year Ordinary least square regression NONE WOMAC pain
Higher pre-operative anxiety (-): Unstandardized regression coefficient = 1.082, 95% CI 0.283 to 1.881
Higher pre-operative pain severity (-): Unstandardized regression coefficient = 0.183, 95% CI 0.034 to 0.331
WOMAC pain
Age
Gender
Other painful joints
Number of comorbidities
Depression Self efficacy
WOMAC function
Worse self efficacy (-): Unstandardized regression coefficient = -0.256, 95% CI -0.478 to -0.034
More painful joints elsewhere (-): Unstandardized regression coefficient = 1.928, 95% CI 0.634 to 3.222
Higher pre-operative anxiety
(-)
: Unstandardized regression coefficient = 0.867, 95% CI 0.128 to 1.623
Worse preoperative function level (-): Unstandardized regression coefficient = 0.289, 95% CI 0.134 to 0.444
WOMAC function Age
Gender
Depression
Yakobov et al. (2014) [36] OA Primary TKA 67 (range 50 to 85) 61 116 1 year WOMAC pain and function at 1 year Hierarchical regression analysis NONE WOMAC pain
Higher perceived injustice (-):
β = 0.29, p < 0.01
WOMAC pain
Age
Sex
BMI
Illness duration
Preoperative pain
Number of comorbid health conditions
Pain catastrophizing
Kinesiophobia
WOMAC function
Greater preoperative pain catastrophizing (-): β = 0.26, p < 0.01
WOMAC function
Age
Sex
BMI
Illness duration
Preoperative pain
Number of comorbid health conditions
Kinesiophobia

Perceived injustice

(+): determinant of successful outcome; (-): determinant of poor outcome; ASA –American Society of Anaestesiologists; ISTC – Independent Sector Treatment Centre; NHS - National Health Services; OR – Odds Ratio; QoL – quality of life; RA – Rheumatoid arthritis; UKA – unicompartmental knee arthroplasty; β – regression coefficient.