Table 3: Base-case probabilistic results over a 5 and 10 years’ time horizon.

Strategy Average Cost Per Patient (£) Incremental Cost (£) Average QALYs Per Patient (£) Incremental QALYs ICER (£) (∆Cost/∆QALYs) Probability Cost-Effective for Different WPT Thresholds (%)
£20,000 30,000
Base-case analysis- Informing the clinical effectiveness input parameters using results from the UK based study- 5 years’ Time horizon
MCWP 20,211 - 1.65 - - - -
The Vest™ system 14,176 -6,035 1.72 + 0.07 Dominant 98% 99%
Base-case analysis- Informing the clinical effectiveness input parameters using results from the UK based study- 10 years’ Time horizon
MCWP £34,632 - 3.03 - - - -
The Vest™ system £24,108 -10,524 3.23 0.19 Dominant 98% 100%
Sensitivity analysis- Informing the clinical effectiveness input parameters using results from study by Yuan et al. 2010- 5 years’ Time horizon
MCWP £14,835 - 1.77 - - - -
The VestTM system ££9,108 -£5,727 1.90 0.14 Dominate 100% 100%
Sensitivity analysis- Informing the clinical effectiveness input parameters using results from study by Lechtzin et al. 2016- 5 years’ Time horizon
MCWP £20,211 - 1.65 - - - -
The VestTM system £17,618 -£2,593 1.69 0.03 Dominate 100% 100%

MCWP: Manual Chest Wall Physiotherapy; QALY: Quality adjusted life years