Table 6: Predictive analyses with regard to wins and losses.

Author(s) Date Sample Data Collection Key Findings
Torgler 2004 63 matches World Cup 2002 Secondary data Higher number of shots on goal higher probability to win than not to win; dismissal has strong negative effect; hosting the tournament is a strong advantage
Bar-Eli, Tenenbaum and Geister 2006 743 matches in first division Germany 1963-2004 Secondary data Chance of winning decreases after a red card dependent on match status and match location
Lago-Penas, Lago-Ballesteros, Dellal and Gomez 2010 380 matches in first division Spain 2008-2009 Secondary data Shots, shots on goal, effectiveness, assists, crosses, conceded crosses, possession and match location discriminate best between win, draw and lose
Lago-Penas, Lago-Ballesteros and Rey 2011 288 matches European Champions’ League group-stage 2007-2010 Secondary data Winners perform more shots, better effectiveness, more passes, higher possession and receive less cards; shots on goal, crosses, possession, match location and quality of opponent discriminate best
Mechtel, Baker, Brandle and Vetter 2011 2962 matches in first division Germany 1999-2009 Secondary data Players dismissal increase chance of winning for opponent; team strength (overall and at home) increase chance of winning
Castellano, Casamichana and Lago 2012 177 matches World Cup 2002-2010 Secondary data Shots, shots on goal, shots received and shots on goal received discriminate best
Gómez, Gómez-Lopez, Lago and Sampaio 2012 1900 matches in first division Spain 2003-2008 Secondary data Field subdivided in 19 zones; 7 variables recorded; factor analysis revealed four factors (First: Turnovers in Zone 5.2 and Crosses in zone 4; Second: Goals in zone 5.1, Shots in zone 5.1, Turnovers in zone 4 and Ball recover in zone 1; Third: Goals in zone 5.2, Shots in zone 5.2 and Ball recover in zone 1; Fourth: Turnovers in zone 5.1), factors highest for winners; draw data closer to lose
Collet 2013 6172 matches from several leagues and tournaments Secondary data More time with ball leads to more points and goals; passes and pass accuracy correlate with points and goals; more points on smaller pass to shots on goal relation; if team strength is controlled negative effect for possession; pass and shot accuracy are better predictors
Harrop and Nevill 2014 46 matches in second division England 2012-2013 Secondary data Less passes (p=0.006), more successful passes (p=0.042), more shots (p=0.027), less dribbles (p=0.018) and the match location (p=0.044) are significant in prediction of success; passes (p=0.000), successful passes (p=0.001), and passes in opposition half (p=0.005) are different between wins, draws and losses
Moura, Martins and Cunha 2014 96 matches in group stage World Cup 2006 Secondary data Cluster analysis to generate two groups of data; 70.3% of the winning team were classified into the same group; shots, shots on goal and possession discriminate best the winning teams
Hanau, Wicker and Soebbing 2015 306 matches in first division Germany 2010-2011 Secondary data Actual winning is influenced by difference in ranking last year and home match
Liu, Gomez, Lago-Penas and Sampaio 2015 48 matches World Cup 2014 Secondary data Shots, Shots on goal, Shots from Counter Attack, Shot from Inside Area, Ball Possession, Short Pass, Average Pass Streak, Aerial Advantage and Tackle clear positive effects on winning,
Shots Blocked, Cross, Dribble and Red Card negative relationship to winning
Liu, Hopkins and Gomez 2016 320 matches in first division Spain 2012/13 Secondary data Shots on target and total shots have positive within team effect to winning;
ball possession: small negative within-team effect but a small positive between-team effect;
Game location showed a small positive within-team effect;
Within-team effects varied depending on the strength of team and opposition.
Mao, Peng, Liu and Gomez 2016 480 matches in first division China 2014-2015 Secondary data Shots on goal (positive), shot accuracy (positive), cross accuracy (trivial), tackle (trivial) and yellow cards (trivial) have effects on winning